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- <text id=92TT0185>
- <title>
- Jan. 27, 1992: Business Notes:Economy
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
- Jan. 27, 1992 Is Bill Clinton For Real?
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- BUSINESS, Page 47
- Business Notes
- ECONOMY
- A Hot Tip Topples
- </hdr><body>
- <p> Nothing excites Wall Street more than a hot rumor. After
- months of dismal economic reports, investors were ready to jump
- on anything that hinted that the recession was bottoming out.
- They got their chance last Tuesday when word spread in the stock
- market that the University of Michigan's early January survey of
- consumer sentiment would show a dramatic upturn. The results of
- this particular poll were greatly anticipated because it was
- taken shortly after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates
- at the end of December. Word of the alleged rebound in consumer
- confidence caused the Dow Jones industrial average to shoot up
- more than 60 points for the day.
- </p>
- <p> The rumor, alas, was unfounded. When the results were
- released late Thursday to the survey's clients, they showed just
- another in a long series of declines in consumer spirit: a drop
- from 68.2 in December to 67.1 in early January. If that wasn't
- depressing enough, the government released a batch of year-end
- statistics last week confirming the economy's continuing dismal
- shape. Retail sales, which account for one-third of all U.S.
- economic activity, fell 0.4% in December. For all of 1991, they
- inched up a meager 0.7%, the smallest gain in three decades. The
- cutback in spending led to plant closures. Industrial output
- fell 0.2% last month, and shrank by 1.9% in 1991, the first
- yearly decline since the 1981-82 recession. One piece of good
- news did emerge. The weak economy managed to contain inflation.
- Consumer prices rose a modest 3.1% in 1991, the lowest in five
- years.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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